The decline that began at the end of December 2024 is likely to continue in 2025. If we analyze the two previous cycles, when the bulls were replaced by the bears, then the bull season ended at the end of each year, in November - December. So on December 16, 2017, the market turned around after reaching its maximum again. And on November 9, 2021, the market also turned around after reaching its maximum at that time.
The bull season of 2024 most likely ended on December 17, when Bitcoin set a new record at $ 108 thousand.
How fast will Bitcoin fall?
Let's analyze the example of the last 2 bear seasons.
In 2017, Bitcoin collapsed from 20 thousand to 7 thousand in 2 months.
In 2021, Bitcoin did not get cheaper so quickly. At first, it fell from 67 thousand to 35 thousand in 2 months. Then, over the next 3 months, it rose again to 47 thousand. And only after that, it finally fell to 15 thousand.
Most likely, 2025 will be a repeat of 2021 rather than 2017. This means that Bitcoin will experience a correction in the region of 50-60 thousand and then growth should follow again.
How long will the bear season last?
If the crypto market repeats previous cycles, then it is likely that the next 3 years will be a bear market. Cryptocurrencies will become cheaper and many of them will disappear forever. Many traders know how to make money on the fall during the bear season. But we would not recommend doing this, since in this case the risk of incurring losses is much higher.
The Prospects of Altcoins and Memcoins in 2025.
Many altcoins can rise in price even when Bitcoin falls. Most often, this happens because they simply failed to gain their real weight during Bitcoin's growth and rapid fall. That is, when, for example, Bitcoin rose in price to $100,000, and then, after some time, experienced a downward correction, at this time those altcoins or memecoins that were supposed to grow even during the previous growth of Bitcoin to 90 thousand, began their growth. Then, of course, they will also fall, but at the moment, following the old growth trajectory, they can become more expensive.